Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 08:30 •
Kanjuruhan Stadium
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.53)
0.87 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.8% | 23.2% | 18.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
2 - 0
11.2%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Semen Padang | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arema FC | 0 | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.7% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 11.2% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arema FC | Semen Padang |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 29% | 35% |
| Defense | 76% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arema FC | Semen Padang | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 40% | 30% | 35% | 30% | 10% | 20% |
| Draws | 10% | 50% | 30% | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Loses | 50% | 20% | 35% | 60% | 70% | 65% |
Arema FCWDWDLLDWLWLDDDLLWLWW
Semen PadangLWDLLLLLLLLWLWLLLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Arema FC | Semen Padang | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 11 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 15 | 10 | 25 | 14 | 18 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arema FC | Semen Padang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 85% | 60% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 35% | 20% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 5% | 5% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arema FC | Semen Padang | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arema FC | Semen Padang |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arema FC | Semen Padang |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 8 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arema FC | Semen Padang |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 63.3% | 36.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.92 @ Superbet
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away4.07 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.86 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Unibet
No2.19 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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