Liga 1 — Indonesia
Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 13:30 • Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.51) 1.30 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.0% 23.1% 27.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
PSM Makassar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persebaya Surabaya 0 4.6% 5.9% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.2% 10.6% 6.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.5% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.4% 5.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPSM Makassar
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack47%16%
Defense63%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Persebaya Surabaya PSM Makassar
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins45%36%41%18%27%23%
Draws27%45%36%45%27%36%
Loses27%18%23%36%45%41%

Form: Persebaya Surabaya: LWWLWDLDWDDDDDWWWWDWLL • PSM Makassar: DDDLWDLDDWWWDLLLLLDWLL

League goals

Metric Persebaya Surabaya PSM Makassar
HATHAT
GF total201333111324
GF avg1.81.21.51.01.21.1
GA total14923101626
GA avg1.30.81.00.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePersebaya SurabayaPSM Makassar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%73%68%77%
1.532%23%18%36%
2.518%9%9%5%
3.59%0%9%0%
4.55%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPSM Makassar
HATHAT
Clean sheets246415
Failed to score123527

Penalties

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPSM Makassar
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPSM Makassar
Wins43
Draws53
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-35-03-4
Biggest losses1-33-10-22-0
Goals For5354
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPSM Makassar
Form64%36%
Att75%25%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total64.7%35.3%

Advice: Double chance : Persebaya Surabaya or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ 888Sport
Draw3.34 @ Pinnacle
Away3.47 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ SBO
Under 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Persebaya Surabaya = 1.79 (league 1.51), PSM Makassar = 1.30 (league 1.20)

PSM Makassar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persebaya Surabaya 0 4.6% 5.9% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.2% 10.6% 6.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.5% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.4% 5.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 27.6%

vtt 6 , vtd1