Liga 1 — Indonesia
Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 13:30 • Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.51) 1.75 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.9% 23.3% 58.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.7%
0 - 2
11.9%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Malut United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persepam Madura Utd 0 7.8% 13.7% 11.9% 6.9% 3.0% 1.1%
1 6.3% 11.0% 9.6% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 2.5% 4.4% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPersepam Madura UtdMalut United
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack27%60%
Defense33%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Persepam Madura Utd Malut United
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins18%17%17%58%45%52%
Draws36%33%35%17%27%22%
Loses45%50%48%25%27%26%

Form: Persepam Madura Utd: LWDLDLDWLDWLLDWLLLDLDDL • Malut United: WDDLLWWWWWDDWWWWLWLLWDL

League goals

Metric Persepam Madura Utd Malut United
HATHAT
GF total121022311546
GF avg1.10.81.02.61.42.0
GA total162036161228
GA avg1.51.71.61.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePersepam Madura UtdMalut United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%83%87%70%
1.530%39%52%43%
2.54%17%35%9%
3.54%13%17%0%
4.54%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPersepam Madura UtdMalut United
HATHAT
Clean sheets224437
Failed to score5611123

Penalties

MetricPersepam Madura UtdMalut United
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricPersepam Madura UtdMalut United
Wins15
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-26-21-3
Biggest losses1-45-00-22-0
Goals For5263
Goals Against4532

Model comparison

MetricPersepam Madura UtdMalut United
Form43%57%
Att31%69%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h50%50%
Goals38%63%
Total40.2%60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Malut United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.83 @ Pinnacle
Away2.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Persepam Madura Utd = 0.80 (league 1.51), Malut United = 1.75 (league 1.20)

Malut United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persepam Madura Utd 0 7.8% 13.7% 11.9% 6.9% 3.0% 1.1%
1 6.3% 11.0% 9.6% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 2.5% 4.4% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.9% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 58.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1