Liga 1 — Indonesia
Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 14:00 • Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.50) 2.00 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.2% 21.0% 60.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
10.5%
0 - 2
10.5%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
PSIM Yogyakarta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Semen Padang 0 5.2% 10.5% 10.5% 7.0% 3.5% 1.4%
1 5.0% 10.0% 9.9% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.4% 4.7% 4.7% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6%
3 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSemen PadangPSIM Yogyakarta
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack16%53%
Defense53%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Semen Padang PSIM Yogyakarta
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins27%8%17%36%42%39%
Draws18%17%17%45%33%39%
Loses55%75%65%18%25%22%

Form: Semen Padang: LWDLLLLLLLLWLWLLLDDWLDL • PSIM Yogyakarta: WDDWLWDLWWDWLDDWWLLDDDW

League goals

Metric Semen Padang PSIM Yogyakarta
HATHAT
GF total12719141933
GF avg1.10.60.81.31.61.4
GA total162541141630
GA avg1.52.11.81.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSemen PadangPSIM Yogyakarta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%83%78%65%
1.522%57%43%43%
2.54%26%17%17%
3.50%9%4%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSemen PadangPSIM Yogyakarta
HATHAT
Clean sheets314448
Failed to score2810235

Penalties

MetricSemen PadangPSIM Yogyakarta
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricSemen PadangPSIM Yogyakarta
Wins12
Draws23
Losses82

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-00-3
Biggest losses1-35-10-34-0
Goals For2334
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricSemen PadangPSIM Yogyakarta
Form45%55%
Att23%77%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h36%64%
Goals33%67%
Total36.7%63.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or PSIM Yogyakarta

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ Betano
Draw3.68 @ Pinnacle
Away2.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Semen Padang = 0.95 (league 1.50), PSIM Yogyakarta = 2.00 (league 1.20)

PSIM Yogyakarta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Semen Padang 0 5.2% 10.5% 10.5% 7.0% 3.5% 1.4%
1 5.0% 10.0% 9.9% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.4% 4.7% 4.7% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6%
3 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.2% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 60.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1