Liga 1 — Indonesia
Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 13:30 • Stadion Kanjuruhan
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.50) 2.45 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.5% 19.2% 48.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.7%
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Bali United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arema FC 0 1.4% 3.5% 4.3% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0%
1 2.6% 6.3% 7.7% 6.3% 3.8% 1.9%
2 2.3% 5.7% 6.9% 5.7% 3.5% 1.7%
3 1.4% 3.4% 4.2% 3.4% 2.1% 1.0%
4 0.6% 1.5% 1.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.5%
5 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArema FCBali United
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack90%60%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arema FC Bali United
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins45%25%35%17%45%30%
Draws9%50%30%50%27%39%
Loses45%25%35%33%27%30%

Form: Arema FC: WDWDLLDWLWLDDDLLWLWWWDL • Bali United: DDLWDLWWDLLDWWDWWDLLLDD

League goals

Metric Arema FC Bali United
HATHAT
GF total18143282331
GF avg1.61.21.40.72.11.3
GA total151530121931
GA avg1.41.31.31.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArema FCBali United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%74%61%
1.543%39%39%35%
2.59%9%22%30%
3.54%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArema FCBali United
HATHAT
Clean sheets224639
Failed to score134606

Penalties

MetricArema FCBali United
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricArema FCBali United
Wins32
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-21-00-3
Biggest losses1-33-11-35-2
Goals For4233
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricArema FCBali United
Form83%17%
Att60%40%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total59.0%41.0%

Advice: Double chance : Arema FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.52 @ Pinnacle
Away3.45 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arema FC = 1.81 (league 1.50), Bali United = 2.45 (league 1.20)

Bali United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arema FC 0 1.4% 3.5% 4.3% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0%
1 2.6% 6.3% 7.7% 6.3% 3.8% 1.9%
2 2.3% 5.7% 6.9% 5.7% 3.5% 1.7%
3 1.4% 3.4% 4.2% 3.4% 2.1% 1.0%
4 0.6% 1.5% 1.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.5%
5 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.5% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 48.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1