Liga 1 — Indonesia
Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 13:30 • Sumpah Pemuda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.51) 0.60 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.3% 29.2% 17.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.5%
0 - 0
15.1%
2 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Arema FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bhayangkara FC 0 15.1% 9.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 11.7% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 7.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.4% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBhayangkara FCArema FC
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack59%50%
Defense73%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bhayangkara FC Arema FC
HATHAT
Played111324121224
Wins55%38%46%42%25%33%
Draws27%15%21%8%50%29%
Loses18%46%33%50%25%38%

Form: Bhayangkara FC: LDLWDWLWWDWLDLLWLDWLWWWW • Arema FC: WDWDLLDWLWLDDDLLWLWWWDLL

League goals

Metric Bhayangkara FC Arema FC
HATHAT
GF total161430211435
GF avg1.51.11.31.81.21.5
GA total71926191534
GA avg0.61.51.11.61.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBhayangkara FCArema FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%67%83%83%
1.533%25%46%42%
2.58%13%13%13%
3.58%4%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBhayangkara FCArema FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets538224
Failed to score156134

Penalties

MetricBhayangkara FCArema FC
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricBhayangkara FCArema FC
Wins23
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-24-10-2
Biggest losses1-24-11-33-1
Goals For4442
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricBhayangkara FCArema FC
Form63%37%
Att54%46%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Bhayangkara FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ 188Bet
Draw3.66 @ Pinnacle
Away3.80 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bhayangkara FC = 1.29 (league 1.51), Arema FC = 0.60 (league 1.20)

Arema FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bhayangkara FC 0 15.1% 9.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 11.7% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 7.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.4% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.3% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 17.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1