Liga 1 — Indonesia
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 08:30 • Stadion Gelora Bumi Kartini
Not Started

Persijap

—

PSBS Biak Numfor

Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.53) 0.98 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.8% 20.3% 16.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persijap 0 4.6% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.6% 9.5% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.0% 6.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Persijap carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 122 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Persijap +31.5, PSBS Biak Numfor -44.1.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Persijap Elo 1470.5 · +31.5
vs
PSBS Biak Numfor Elo 1383.6 · -44.1
Elo gapPersijap +122
Home / draw / away55% / 18% / 27%
Expected home share67%
Combined Elo2854.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2854.1
Elo home share 67%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Persijap PSBS Biak Numfor
Overall Elo1470.51383.6
Form Elo1495.31350.1
Home / Away Elo1497.21448.2
Attack Elo1430.11436
Defense Elo1484.11276
Last 5 Elo change+31.5-44.1

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Persijap last-5 Elo change: +31.5; PSBS Biak Numfor last-5 Elo change: -44.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPersijapPSBS Biak Numfor
Played55
Form60%0%
Attack50%25%
Defense75%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.616 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Persijap PSBS Biak Numfor
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins36%14%25%21%7%14%
Draws21%29%25%21%21%21%
Loses43%57%50%57%71%64%
PersijapDWLDWLLLLLLLLDLLLWLWLWDDDDWW
PSBS Biak NumforLLDLWLDLDLWLWLDLWLDLLDLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Persijap PSBS Biak Numfor
HATHAT
GF total151126151429
GF avg1.10.80.91.11.01.0
GA total172542244165
GA avg1.21.81.51.72.92.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePersijapPSBS Biak Numfor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%75%64%89%
1.529%50%29%64%
2.54%18%7%36%
3.50%7%4%21%
4.50%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPersijapPSBS Biak Numfor
HATHAT
Clean sheets437213
Failed to score47117310

Penalties

MetricPersijapPSBS Biak Numfor
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricPersijapPSBS Biak Numfor
Wins11
Draws41
Losses82

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-24-11-2
Biggest losses0-34-00-36-1
Goals For3242
Goals Against3446

Model comparison

MetricPersijapPSBS Biak Numfor
Form100%0%
Att67%33%
Def84%16%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total57.2%42.8%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw9.00 @ Bet365
Away21.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ BetVictor
No1.60 @ Betfair
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League standings

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