Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.09) 1.36 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.5% 26.6% 40.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
10.6%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo La Guaira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carabobo FC 0 7.8% 10.6% 7.2% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.3% 12.6% 8.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.5% 7.5% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarabobo FCDeportivo La Guaira
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack50%86%
Defense79%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carabobo FC Deportivo La Guaira
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins53%53%53%60%67%63%
Draws40%27%33%27%13%20%
Loses7%20%13%13%20%17%

Form: Carabobo FC: WDWDLWWDWWWDDWDLLWDWDWWDWLWWWD • Deportivo La Guaira: DDDWWWLWWDWDWWWLLWDWWWWLWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Carabobo FC Deportivo La Guaira
HATHAT
GF total191837302757
GF avg1.31.21.22.01.81.9
GA total101121111526
GA avg0.70.70.70.71.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarabobo FCDeportivo La Guaira
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%43%87%70%
1.540%17%63%13%
2.513%7%30%3%
3.53%3%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarabobo FCDeportivo La Guaira
HATHAT
Clean sheets10717639
Failed to score4610314

Penalties

MetricCarabobo FCDeportivo La Guaira
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total47

Streaks

MetricCarabobo FCDeportivo La Guaira
Wins34
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-34-00-3
Biggest losses2-43-01-23-2
Goals For4343
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricCarabobo FCDeportivo La Guaira
Form45%55%
Att37%63%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h75%25%
Goals71%29%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Double chance : Carabobo FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ William Hill
Draw2.84 @ SBO
Away3.25 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Betfair
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carabobo FC = 1.19 (league 1.09), Deportivo La Guaira = 1.36 (league 0.93)

Deportivo La Guaira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carabobo FC 0 7.8% 10.6% 7.2% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.3% 12.6% 8.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.5% 7.5% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.5% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 40.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1