Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 21:00 • Complejo Deportivo Socialista
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.09) 0.83 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.2% 19.2% 13.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Estudiantes de Merida FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Puerto Cabello 0 5.1% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.0% 9.1% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.4% 7.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.5% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPuerto CabelloEstudiantes de Merida FC
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack8%31%
Defense92%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Puerto Cabello Estudiantes de Merida FC
HATHAT
Played151530121224
Wins47%13%30%50%8%29%
Draws33%47%40%8%8%8%
Loses20%40%30%42%83%63%

Form: Puerto Cabello: LWLWWLWDDDWLWLDDDLLDWLWDDDDLWD • Estudiantes de Merida FC: LLWLWDLLLLLWLLWLDLWWLLLW

League goals

Metric Puerto Cabello Estudiantes de Merida FC
HATHAT
GF total2082816824
GF avg1.30.50.91.30.71.0
GA total161127142236
GA avg1.10.70.91.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePuerto CabelloEstudiantes de Merida FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%53%71%67%
1.523%30%25%54%
2.510%7%4%17%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPuerto CabelloEstudiantes de Merida FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets7714628
Failed to score21012257

Penalties

MetricPuerto CabelloEstudiantes de Merida FC
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricPuerto CabelloEstudiantes de Merida FC
Wins22
Draws41
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-00-1
Biggest losses1-32-00-24-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3244

Model comparison

MetricPuerto CabelloEstudiantes de Merida FC
Form50%50%
Att20%80%
Def88%13%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h60%40%
Goals58%42%
Total58.0%42.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Puerto Cabello or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ 10Bet
Draw3.35 @ Superbet
Away3.90 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Puerto Cabello = 2.14 (league 1.09), Estudiantes de Merida FC = 0.83 (league 0.93)

Estudiantes de Merida FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Puerto Cabello 0 5.1% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.0% 9.1% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.4% 7.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.5% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.2% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 13.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1