Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Monumental de Maturín
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.09) 1.54 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.1% 22.9% 33.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Caracas FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monagas SC 0 3.7% 5.7% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
1 6.5% 10.0% 7.7% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.7% 8.8% 6.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.3% 5.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonagas SCCaracas FC
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack71%50%
Defense64%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monagas SC Caracas FC
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins58%25%42%50%33%42%
Draws17%25%21%25%25%25%
Loses25%50%38%25%42%33%

Form: Monagas SC: DLLLLWLWDDWWLLLWWDDWWWWL • Caracas FC: DWWLLDWDDLLLWWWWLDLWDWLW

League goals

Metric Monagas SC Caracas FC
HATHAT
GF total191332131326
GF avg1.61.11.31.11.11.1
GA total151732111425
GA avg1.31.41.30.91.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonagas SCCaracas FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%58%63%
1.542%42%33%21%
2.513%13%17%17%
3.54%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonagas SCCaracas FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets426639
Failed to score1564610

Penalties

MetricMonagas SCCaracas FC
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricMonagas SCCaracas FC
Wins44
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-43-11-3
Biggest losses1-43-11-43-0
Goals For3433
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricMonagas SCCaracas FC
Form55%45%
Att59%41%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : Monagas SC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ William Hill
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monagas SC = 1.76 (league 1.09), Caracas FC = 1.54 (league 0.93)

Caracas FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monagas SC 0 3.7% 5.7% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
1 6.5% 10.0% 7.7% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.7% 8.8% 6.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.3% 5.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.1% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 33.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1