Thu, Sep 4 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Cuscatlán
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.16) 1.12 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.6% 24.2% 25.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Municipal Limeño
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza 0 6.1% 6.8% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.2% 11.5% 6.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.6% 9.6% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianzaMunicipal Limeño
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack100%67%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Municipal Limeño
HATHAT
Played448628
Wins25%75%50%50%0%38%
Draws50%25%38%0%50%13%
Loses25%0%13%50%50%50%

Form: Alianza: DWDDLWWW • Municipal Limeño: LDWLLWLW

League goals

Metric Alianza Municipal Limeño
HATHAT
GF total5111611213
GF avg1.32.82.01.81.01.6
GA total551012315
GA avg1.31.31.32.01.51.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianzaMunicipal Limeño
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%100%88%
1.563%38%25%63%
2.538%13%13%25%
3.513%0%13%13%
4.513%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianzaMunicipal Limeño
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score202000

Penalties

MetricAlianzaMunicipal Limeño
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAlianzaMunicipal Limeño
Wins11
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-55-2
Biggest losses0-21-42-1
Goals For3551
Goals Against3242

Model comparison

MetricAlianzaMunicipal Limeño
Form63%38%
Att65%35%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h50%50%
Goals63%38%
Total60.5%39.8%

Advice: Double chance : Alianza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away4.88 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alianza = 1.68 (league 1.16), Municipal Limeño = 1.12 (league 1.16)

Municipal Limeño
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza 0 6.1% 6.8% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.2% 11.5% 6.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.6% 9.6% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 25.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1