Thu, Sep 4 2025 • 01:00 •
Estadio Sergio Torres Rivera
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.16)
1.08 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.2% | 20.7% | 19.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.6%
2 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Hércules | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Firpo | 0 | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Firpo | Hércules |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 89% |
| Defense | 67% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 16 | 3.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Firpo | Hércules | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Wins | 75% | 50% | 63% | 0% | 40% | 25% |
| Draws | 25% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 20% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 67% | 40% | 50% |
Form: Firpo: WWDWWWDL • Hércules: DDLLWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Firpo | Hércules | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Firpo | Hércules | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 50% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 25% | 38% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 13% | 13% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Firpo | Hércules | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Firpo | Hércules |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Firpo | Hércules |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-5 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Firpo | Hércules |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 84% | 16% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 66.7% | 33.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Firpo or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Firpo = 2.07 (league 1.16), Hércules = 1.08 (league 1.16)
| Hércules | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Firpo | 0 | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.2% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 19.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1