Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Sergio Torres Rivera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.59 (league 1.16) 0.69 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.4% 14.1% 7.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.6%
3 - 0
10.9%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Municipal Limeño
0 1 2 3 4 5
Firpo 0 3.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.7% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 8.7% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.9% 7.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.1% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFirpoMunicipal Limeño
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack47%33%
Defense73%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Firpo Municipal Limeño
HATHAT
Played65117411
Wins83%60%73%57%0%36%
Draws17%20%18%0%25%9%
Loses0%20%9%43%75%55%

Form: Firpo: WWDWWWDLWWW • Municipal Limeño: LDWLLWLWLWL

League goals

Metric Firpo Municipal Limeño
HATHAT
GF total9132212416
GF avg1.52.62.01.71.01.5
GA total09912820
GA avg0.01.80.81.72.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFirpoMunicipal Limeño
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%45%100%82%
1.564%27%18%64%
2.545%9%9%27%
3.50%0%9%9%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFirpoMunicipal Limeño
HATHAT
Clean sheets606202
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricFirpoMunicipal Limeño
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricFirpoMunicipal Limeño
Wins31
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-35-2
Biggest losses2-11-43-1
Goals For3351
Goals Against0343

Model comparison

MetricFirpoMunicipal Limeño
Form63%38%
Att58%42%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals70%30%
Total69.6%30.6%

Advice: Double chance : Firpo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Superbet
Draw4.17 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Pinnacle
No1.74 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Firpo = 2.59 (league 1.16), Municipal Limeño = 0.69 (league 1.16)

Municipal Limeño
0 1 2 3 4 5
Firpo 0 3.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.7% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 8.7% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.9% 7.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.1% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.4% · Draw 14.1% · Away win 7.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1