Thu, Sep 25 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Nacional Jorge Mágico González
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.20) 2.04 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.0% 18.3% 72.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.4%
0 - 1
16.1%
0 - 3
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Cacahuatique
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza 0 7.9% 16.1% 16.4% 11.1% 5.7% 2.3%
1 4.0% 8.1% 8.2% 5.6% 2.8% 1.2%
2 1.0% 2.0% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianzaCacahuatique
Played55
Form100%73%
Attack60%67%
Defense87%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.41 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Cacahuatique
HATHAT
Played66127512
Wins50%83%67%14%80%42%
Draws33%17%25%43%20%33%
Loses17%0%8%43%0%25%

Form: Alianza: DWDDLWWWWWWW • Cacahuatique: WLWLLDDWDWWD

League goals

Metric Alianza Cacahuatique
HATHAT
GF total9132261218
GF avg1.52.21.80.92.41.5
GA total651110212
GA avg1.00.80.91.40.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianzaCacahuatique
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%58%75%58%
1.550%25%42%33%
2.533%8%17%8%
3.58%0%8%0%
4.58%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianzaCacahuatique
HATHAT
Clean sheets325235
Failed to score202303

Penalties

MetricAlianzaCacahuatique
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAlianzaCacahuatique
Wins12
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-52-10-5
Biggest losses0-2—1-3—
Goals For3525
Goals Against3231

Model comparison

MetricAlianzaCacahuatique
Form58%42%
Att47%53%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h80%20%
Goals76%24%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Alianza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ 10Bet
Draw3.80 @ Unibet
Away6.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.79 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Alianza = 0.50 (league 1.20), Cacahuatique = 2.04 (league 1.18)

Cacahuatique
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza 0 7.9% 16.1% 16.4% 11.1% 5.7% 2.3%
1 4.0% 8.1% 8.2% 5.6% 2.8% 1.2%
2 1.0% 2.0% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.0% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 72.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1