Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Sergio Torres Rivera
Match Finished
0 - 5
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.16) 0.19 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.4% 37.5% 7.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.5%
1 - 0
30.4%
2 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Firpo 0 31.5% 5.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.4% 5.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.7% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFirpoAlianza
Played55
Form87%100%
Attack73%53%
Defense67%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Firpo Alianza
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins71%67%69%57%83%69%
Draws29%17%23%29%17%23%
Loses0%17%8%14%0%8%

Form: Firpo: WWDWWWDLWWWDW • Alianza: DWDDLWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Firpo Alianza
HATHAT
GF total101727111324
GF avg1.42.82.11.62.21.8
GA total111127512
GA avg0.11.80.91.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFirpoAlianza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%54%85%62%
1.562%31%54%23%
2.546%8%31%8%
3.58%0%8%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFirpoAlianza
HATHAT
Clean sheets606325
Failed to score101202

Penalties

MetricFirpoAlianza
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 50.00%
Total22

Streaks

MetricFirpoAlianza
Wins31
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-43-12-5
Biggest losses—2-10-2—
Goals For3435
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricFirpoAlianza
Form46%54%
Att58%42%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total45.2%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alianza

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Marathonbet
Away3.42 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.64 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Unibet
No1.82 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Firpo = 0.97 (league 1.16), Alianza = 0.19 (league 1.17)

Alianza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Firpo 0 31.5% 5.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.4% 5.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.7% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.4% · Draw 37.5% · Away win 7.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1