Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 01:15 • Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.16) 2.90 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.8% 14.9% 64.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.4%
1 - 3
8.1%
0 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Isidro Metapán 0 1.7% 4.8% 6.9% 6.7% 4.9% 2.8%
1 2.0% 5.8% 8.4% 8.1% 5.9% 3.4%
2 1.2% 3.5% 5.0% 4.9% 3.5% 2.0%
3 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIsidro MetapánAlianza
Played55
Form80%100%
Attack86%86%
Defense43%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Isidro Metapán Alianza
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%50%53%63%86%73%
Draws29%13%20%25%14%20%
Loses14%38%27%13%0%7%

Form: Isidro Metapán: LDWWDDWWLLWLWWW • Alianza: DWDDLWWWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Isidro Metapán Alianza
HATHAT
GF total141024131730
GF avg2.01.31.61.62.42.0
GA total1010208513
GA avg1.41.31.31.00.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIsidro MetapánAlianza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%87%87%60%
1.573%33%60%20%
2.513%13%27%7%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIsidro MetapánAlianza
HATHAT
Clean sheets112336
Failed to score134202

Penalties

MetricIsidro MetapánAlianza
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricIsidro MetapánAlianza
Wins21
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-10-5
Biggest losses2-33-00-2
Goals For3235
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricIsidro MetapánAlianza
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total46.0%54.2%

Advice: Double chance : Isidro Metapán or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.99 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.88 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Isidro Metapán = 1.20 (league 1.16), Alianza = 2.90 (league 1.16)

Alianza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Isidro Metapán 0 1.7% 4.8% 6.9% 6.7% 4.9% 2.8%
1 2.0% 5.8% 8.4% 8.1% 5.9% 3.4%
2 1.2% 3.5% 5.0% 4.9% 3.5% 2.0%
3 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.8% · Draw 14.9% · Away win 64.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1