Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Cuscatlán
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.53 (league 1.20) 0.84 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.6% 15.7% 10.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.3%
3 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Hércules
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza 0 3.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.7% 7.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.3% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.2% 7.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.8% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianzaHércules
Played55
Form80%20%
Attack77%31%
Defense77%23%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Hércules
HATHAT
Played88167815
Wins63%75%69%14%25%20%
Draws25%13%19%14%13%13%
Loses13%13%13%71%63%67%

Form: Alianza: DWDDLWWWWWWWWWWL • Hércules: DDLLWLWLLLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Alianza Hércules
HATHAT
GF total1317307815
GF avg1.62.11.91.01.01.0
GA total8614191534
GA avg1.00.80.92.71.92.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianzaHércules
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%63%67%87%
1.556%19%27%60%
2.525%6%7%40%
3.513%0%0%20%
4.513%0%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianzaHércules
HATHAT
Clean sheets336022
Failed to score213235

Penalties

MetricAlianzaHércules
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAlianzaHércules
Wins101
Draws22
Losses17

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-52-11-3
Biggest losses0-21-00-55-2
Goals For3523
Goals Against3255

Model comparison

MetricAlianzaHércules
Form80%20%
Att71%29%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h100%0%
Goals71%29%
Total74.8%25.2%

Advice: Winner : Alianza

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.33 @ William Hill
Draw4.75 @ Bet365
Away9.18 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alianza = 2.53 (league 1.20), Hércules = 0.84 (league 1.19)

Hércules
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza 0 3.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.7% 7.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.3% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.2% 7.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.8% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.6% · Draw 15.7% · Away win 10.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1