Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Óscar Alberto Quiteño
Match Finished

FAS

2 - 2
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.20) 1.43 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.7% 24.5% 35.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza
0 1 2 3 4 5
FAS 0 5.2% 7.4% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.0% 11.3% 8.1% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.7% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.1% 4.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFASAlianza
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack53%60%
Defense73%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FAS Alianza
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins88%33%59%56%75%65%
Draws0%44%24%22%13%18%
Loses13%22%18%22%13%18%

Form: FAS: WDWWWWLWDLDWWWWLD • Alianza: DWDDLWWWWWWWWWWLL

League goals

Metric FAS Alianza
HATHAT
GF total182038131730
GF avg2.32.22.21.42.11.8
GA total612189615
GA avg0.81.31.11.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFASAlianza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%65%76%65%
1.559%29%53%18%
2.541%12%24%6%
3.518%0%12%0%
4.56%0%12%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFASAlianza
HATHAT
Clean sheets426336
Failed to score033314

Penalties

MetricFASAlianza
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricFASAlianza
Wins410
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-83-10-5
Biggest losses2-32-00-21-0
Goals For4835
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricFASAlianza
Form53%47%
Att47%53%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h29%71%
Goals45%55%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alianza

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FAS = 1.53 (league 1.20), Alianza = 1.43 (league 1.18)

Alianza
0 1 2 3 4 5
FAS 0 5.2% 7.4% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.0% 11.3% 8.1% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.7% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.1% 4.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.7% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 35.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1