Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 01:00 • Sergio Torres Stadium
Match Finished
3 - 1

FAS

Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.20) 1.31 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.4% 25.1% 32.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
9.1%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
FAS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Firpo 0 6.0% 7.9% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.1% 11.8% 7.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 8.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFirpoFAS
Played55
Form100%53%
Attack100%88%
Defense50%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 37 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Firpo FAS
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins70%70%70%80%40%60%
Draws20%20%20%10%40%25%
Loses10%10%10%10%20%15%

Form: Firpo: WWDWWWDLWWWDWLDWWWWW • FAS: WDWWWWLWDLDWWWWLDDWW

League goals

Metric Firpo FAS
HATHAT
GF total152843222244
GF avg1.52.82.22.22.22.2
GA total7152291221
GA avg0.71.51.10.91.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFirpoFAS
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%65%85%65%
1.565%25%65%30%
2.550%10%35%10%
3.510%5%15%0%
4.50%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFirpoFAS
HATHAT
Clean sheets707437
Failed to score202033

Penalties

MetricFirpoFAS
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricFirpoFAS
Wins34
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-44-10-8
Biggest losses0-52-12-32-0
Goals For3448
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricFirpoFAS
Form65%35%
Att68%32%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Firpo or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ William Hill
Away4.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.18 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Firpo = 1.50 (league 1.20), FAS = 1.31 (league 1.18)

FAS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Firpo 0 6.0% 7.9% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.1% 11.8% 7.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 8.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.4% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 32.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1