Super League
— Malaysia
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:00 •
Sultan Mizan Zainal Abidin Stadium
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.72)
1.70 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.2% | 23.6% | 44.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Negeri Sembilan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Terengganu | 0 | 4.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Terengganu carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 110 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Terengganu +14.9, Negeri Sembilan +1.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Terengganu
vs
Negeri Sembilan
Elo gapTerengganu +110
Home / draw / away53% / 18% / 29%
Expected home share65%
Combined Elo3014.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3014.4
Elo home share
65%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Terengganu | Negeri Sembilan |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1544.5 | 1469.9 |
| Form Elo | 1552.5 | 1468.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1492.8 | 1487 |
| Attack Elo | 1609 | 1516.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1540.9 | 1481.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +14.9 | +1.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Terengganu last-5 Elo change: +14.9; Negeri Sembilan last-5 Elo change: +1.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Terengganu | Negeri Sembilan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 46% | 100% |
| Defense | 69% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Terengganu | Negeri Sembilan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 30% | 60% | 45% | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| Draws | 30% | 20% | 25% | 50% | 30% | 40% |
| Loses | 40% | 20% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 35% |
TerengganuWDWLWLWLDDWLLWWDWLWD
Negeri SembilanLWDDWLWDDLDWLLLLDDWD
League goals
| Metric | Terengganu | Negeri Sembilan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 20 | 34 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 16 | 11 | 27 | 13 | 17 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Terengganu | Negeri Sembilan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 70% | 80% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 30% | 50% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 15% | 20% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 10% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 10% | 5% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Terengganu | Negeri Sembilan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Terengganu | Negeri Sembilan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Terengganu | Negeri Sembilan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-5 | 3-0 | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 5-2 | 1-2 | 5-3 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Terengganu | Negeri Sembilan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 61.0% | 39.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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