Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 09:00 • Stadio Curva Fiesole - Viola Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.67 (league 1.40) 0.39 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.1% 11.0% 3.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.7%
3 - 0
14.9%
1 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Lecce U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina U20 0 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.5% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.9% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.0% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentina U20Lecce U20
Played44
Form58%25%
Attack38%31%
Defense69%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.34 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 18 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentina U20 Lecce U20
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%0%50%50%0%25%
Draws0%50%25%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%25%50%100%75%

Form: Fiorentina U20: WDWL • Lecce U20: LLLW

League goals

Metric Fiorentina U20 Lecce U20
HATHAT
GF total325314
GF avg1.51.01.31.50.51.0
GA total044358
GA avg0.02.01.01.52.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentina U20Lecce U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%75%100%
1.525%25%25%75%
2.50%25%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentina U20Lecce U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricFiorentina U20Lecce U20
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFiorentina U20Lecce U20
Wins10
Draws10
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-1—
Biggest losses—3-11-23-1
Goals For2121
Goals Against0323

Model comparison

MetricFiorentina U20Lecce U20
Form70%30%
Att56%44%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals29%71%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Fiorentina U20 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.11 @ Pinnacle
Away4.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Pinnacle
No2.35 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina U20 = 2.67 (league 1.40), Lecce U20 = 0.39 (league 1.29)

Lecce U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina U20 0 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.5% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.9% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.0% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.1% · Draw 11.0% · Away win 3.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1