Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:00 • Centro Sportivo Luigi Berlusconi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.41) 0.39 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.8% 26.8% 10.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.3%
2 - 0
16.5%
0 - 0
16.4%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentina U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza U20 0 16.4% 6.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.3% 9.1% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 6.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.8% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonza U20Fiorentina U20
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack31%50%
Defense81%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monza U20 Fiorentina U20
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%67%60%100%0%60%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%20%
Loses50%33%40%0%50%20%

Form: Monza U20: LWWLW • Fiorentina U20: WDWLW

League goals

Metric Monza U20 Fiorentina U20
HATHAT
GF total235628
GF avg1.01.01.02.01.01.6
GA total123246
GA avg0.50.70.60.72.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonza U20Fiorentina U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%100%60%
1.520%20%40%40%
2.50%0%20%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonza U20Fiorentina U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricMonza U20Fiorentina U20
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMonza U20Fiorentina U20
Wins21
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-0—
Biggest losses0-12-1—3-1
Goals For2131
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricMonza U20Fiorentina U20
Form47%53%
Att38%62%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h33%67%
Goals40%60%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fiorentina U20

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.61 @ 1xBet
Draw3.83 @ Pinnacle
Away1.89 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Superbet
No2.38 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monza U20 = 1.42 (league 1.41), Fiorentina U20 = 0.39 (league 1.28)

Fiorentina U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza U20 0 16.4% 6.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.3% 9.1% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 6.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.8% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.8% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 10.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1