Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 13:30 • Centro Sportivo Luigi Berlusconi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.40) 1.40 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.1% 27.6% 53.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.0%
0 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Genoa U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza U20 0 12.2% 17.0% 11.8% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.1% 8.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.1% 4.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonza U20Genoa U20
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack42%50%
Defense58%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monza U20 Genoa U20
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%40%33%60%50%56%
Draws25%40%33%40%50%44%
Loses50%20%33%0%0%0%

Form: Monza U20: LWWLWLDDD • Genoa U20: WDWWWDWDD

League goals

Metric Monza U20 Genoa U20
HATHAT
GF total4597714
GF avg1.01.01.01.41.81.6
GA total448347
GA avg1.00.80.90.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonza U20Genoa U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%100%67%
1.522%33%44%11%
2.50%0%11%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonza U20Genoa U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets134213
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricMonza U20Genoa U20
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMonza U20Genoa U20
Wins23
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-10-2
Biggest losses1-22-1——
Goals For2232
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricMonza U20Genoa U20
Form40%60%
Att45%55%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Genoa U20

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away2.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monza U20 = 0.71 (league 1.40), Genoa U20 = 1.40 (league 1.29)

Genoa U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza U20 0 12.2% 17.0% 11.8% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.1% 8.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.1% 4.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.1% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 53.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1