Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 10:00 • Stadio Carillo Pesenti Pigna
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.52 (league 1.43) 0.23 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.9% 4.7% 0.9%
best score tips
3 - 0
17.0%
4 - 0
15.0%
2 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Napoli U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta U20 0 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.2% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.5% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.0% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.0% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.6% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtalanta U20Napoli U20
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack100%22%
Defense33%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atalanta U20 Napoli U20
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins40%60%50%33%0%20%
Draws60%40%50%17%0%10%
Loses0%0%0%50%100%70%

Form: Atalanta U20: DWWDDWWDDW • Napoli U20: WLLLLLLLDW

League goals

Metric Atalanta U20 Napoli U20
HATHAT
GF total91019516
GF avg1.82.01.90.80.30.6
GA total571271118
GA avg1.01.41.21.22.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtalanta U20Napoli U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%70%40%70%
1.570%40%20%70%
2.530%10%0%40%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtalanta U20Napoli U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets213303
Failed to score202336

Penalties

MetricAtalanta U20Napoli U20
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricAtalanta U20Napoli U20
Wins21
Draws21
Losses07

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-22-0—
Biggest losses——0-23-0
Goals For4321
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricAtalanta U20Napoli U20
Form73%27%
Att82%18%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution94%6%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total76.5%23.5%

Advice: Winner : Atalanta U20

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Betfair
Draw4.65 @ Pinnacle
Away6.50 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.01 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atalanta U20 = 3.52 (league 1.43), Napoli U20 = 0.23 (league 1.28)

Napoli U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta U20 0 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.2% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.5% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.0% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.0% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.6% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.9% · Draw 4.7% · Away win 0.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1