Mon, Jan 12 2026 • 10:00 • Stadio Carillo Pesenti Pigna
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.43) 1.30 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.3% 23.0% 27.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Lecce U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta U20 0 4.4% 5.8% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.0% 10.5% 6.8% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.3% 9.5% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.4% 5.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtalanta U20Lecce U20
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack33%50%
Defense61%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atalanta U20 Lecce U20
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins33%44%39%44%11%28%
Draws44%44%44%22%44%33%
Loses22%11%17%33%44%39%

Form: Atalanta U20: DWWDDWWDDWLDWDDLLW • Lecce U20: LLLWLDDDDWWLDWLLDW

League goals

Metric Atalanta U20 Lecce U20
HATHAT
GF total121830111526
GF avg1.32.01.71.21.71.4
GA total91423111829
GA avg1.01.61.31.22.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtalanta U20Lecce U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%78%67%83%
1.561%39%50%50%
2.528%11%28%28%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtalanta U20Lecce U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets314213
Failed to score415426

Penalties

MetricAtalanta U20Lecce U20
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAtalanta U20Lecce U20
Wins22
Draws24
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-33-10-3
Biggest losses0-21-00-33-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricAtalanta U20Lecce U20
Form42%58%
Att40%60%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total49.8%50.2%

Advice: Double chance : Atalanta U20 or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.06 @ Pinnacle
Away4.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Pinnacle
No2.35 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atalanta U20 = 1.81 (league 1.43), Lecce U20 = 1.30 (league 1.30)

Lecce U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta U20 0 4.4% 5.8% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.0% 10.5% 6.8% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.3% 9.5% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.4% 5.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.3% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 27.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1