Campionato Primavera - 1 — Italy
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 09:00 • Campo Sportivo San Pietro in Lama
Not Started

Lecce U20

—

Hellas Verona U20

Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.45) 1.22 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.8% 26.4% 33.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
10.2%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Hellas Verona U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecce U20 0 7.5% 9.2% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.2% 12.5% 7.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 7.0% 8.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home lean

Lecce U20 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 32 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Lecce U20 -36.3, Hellas Verona U20 -7.1.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Lecce U20 Elo 1515.7 · -36.3
vs
Hellas Verona U20 Elo 1518.9 · -7.1
Elo gapLecce U20 +32
Home / draw / away40% / 26% / 34%
Expected home share55%
Combined Elo3034.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3034.6
Elo home share 55%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric Lecce U20 Hellas Verona U20
Overall Elo1515.71518.9
Form Elo1501.81502.5
Home / Away Elo1497.91518.4
Attack Elo1531.21520.4
Defense Elo1483.11574.1
Last 5 Elo change-36.3-7.1

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Lecce U20 last-5 Elo change: -36.3; Hellas Verona U20 last-5 Elo change: -7.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLecce U20Hellas Verona U20
Played55
Form13%27%
Attack17%33%
Defense42%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-2
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lecce U20 Hellas Verona U20
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins35%35%35%41%24%32%
Draws35%29%32%35%35%35%
Loses29%35%32%24%41%32%
Lecce U20LLLWLDDDDWWLDWLLDWWWWWLWDWDWDDDLLL
Hellas Verona U20DLWWLWDDLWLWWDDDLDDWWDWLDLLDWLLLDW

League goals

Metric Lecce U20 Hellas Verona U20
HATHAT
GF total192948262046
GF avg1.11.71.41.51.21.4
GA total222648203050
GA avg1.31.51.41.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLecce U20Hellas Verona U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%79%71%82%
1.547%41%38%35%
2.526%21%21%18%
3.50%0%6%3%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLecce U20Hellas Verona U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets437336
Failed to score74114610

Penalties

MetricLecce U20Hellas Verona U20
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricLecce U20Hellas Verona U20
Wins52
Draws43
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-12-4
Biggest losses0-33-10-37-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against3337

Model comparison

MetricLecce U20Hellas Verona U20
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total44.8%55.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Lecce U20 vs Hellas Verona U20