Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 09:00 •
Centro Sportivo Romagna Centro
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.45)
0.81 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2% | 19.4% | 13.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 0
11.3%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Sassuolo U20 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cesena U20 | 0 | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Cesena U20 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 116 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Cesena U20 +19.6, Sassuolo U20 -7.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Cesena U20
vs
Sassuolo U20
Elo gapCesena U20 +116
Home / draw / away54% / 18% / 28%
Expected home share66%
Combined Elo3043.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3043.9
Elo home share
66%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Cesena U20 | Sassuolo U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1562.6 | 1481.3 |
| Form Elo | 1576.8 | 1475.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1552.7 | 1517.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1620 | 1473.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1459.5 | 1472.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +19.6 | -7.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Cesena U20 last-5 Elo change: +19.6; Sassuolo U20 last-5 Elo change: -7.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cesena U20 | Sassuolo U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 58% | 100% |
| Defense | 58% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cesena U20 | Sassuolo U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 65% | 29% | 47% | 29% | 24% | 26% |
| Draws | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 47% | 38% |
| Loses | 6% | 41% | 24% | 41% | 29% | 35% |
Cesena U20DDWLWWWWLWLDDWLWDWLWDDLWDDWLWWDWWL
Sassuolo U20DWLWWLWDLLWWDDDLDLLDDDLDDLLWLWDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Cesena U20 | Sassuolo U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 30 | 30 | 60 | 25 | 22 | 47 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 13 | 32 | 45 | 24 | 29 | 53 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cesena U20 | Sassuolo U20 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 74% | 74% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 9% | 12% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 3% | 6% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cesena U20 | Sassuolo U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cesena U20 | Sassuolo U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cesena U20 | Sassuolo U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 7-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 7-2 | 2-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 7 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cesena U20 | Sassuolo U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 37% | 63% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.7% | 51.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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