Fri, May 1 2026 • 15:00 •
Stadio Enzo Ricci
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.45)
0.99 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.8% | 25.5% | 24.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
12.1%
2 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Torino U20 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sassuolo U20 | 0 | 7.9% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Sassuolo U20 -1.4, Torino U20 -0.2.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Sassuolo U20
vs
Torino U20
Elo gapTorino U20 +3
Home / draw / away35% / 30% / 35%
Expected home share50%
Combined Elo2986.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2986.4
Elo home share
50%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Sassuolo U20 | Torino U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1474.4 | 1512 |
| Form Elo | 1463.6 | 1530.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1473.2 | 1485.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1480 | 1520.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1463.1 | 1496.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -1.4 | -0.2 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Sassuolo U20 last-5 Elo change: -1.4; Torino U20 last-5 Elo change: -0.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sassuolo U20 | Torino U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 44% | 44% |
| Defense | 56% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sassuolo U20 | Torino U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 29% | 22% | 26% | 33% | 24% | 29% |
| Draws | 29% | 44% | 37% | 39% | 35% | 37% |
| Loses | 41% | 33% | 37% | 28% | 41% | 34% |
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League goals
| Metric | Sassuolo U20 | Torino U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 24 | 49 | 29 | 16 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 24 | 32 | 56 | 21 | 26 | 47 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sassuolo U20 | Torino U20 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 83% | 77% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 40% | 31% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 23% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 11% | 3% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sassuolo U20 | Torino U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sassuolo U20 | Torino U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sassuolo U20 | Torino U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sassuolo U20 | Torino U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 52.8% | 47.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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