Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 11:00 •
Stadion An der Wuhlheide
Expected Goals
5.70 (league 2.14)
1.04 (league 1.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
best score tips
5 - 1
6.2%
5 - 0
6.0%
4 - 1
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Erzgebirge Aue U19 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union Berlin U19 | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Union Berlin U19 | Erzgebirge Aue U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 75% |
| Defense | 63% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 18 | 3.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
67%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Union Berlin U19 | Erzgebirge Aue U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 100% | 75% | 86% | 33% | 50% | 43% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 50% | 57% |
Form: Union Berlin U19: WWWWDWW • Erzgebirge Aue U19: LLWLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Union Berlin U19 | Erzgebirge Aue U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 13 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GF avg | 3.7 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 2.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Union Berlin U19 | Erzgebirge Aue U19 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 71% | 57% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | 43% | 71% |
| 2.5 | 71% | 14% | 43% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 0% | 14% | 29% |
| 4.5 | 29% | 0% | 14% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Union Berlin U19 | Erzgebirge Aue U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Union Berlin U19 | Erzgebirge Aue U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Union Berlin U19 | Erzgebirge Aue U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-5 | 5-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-4 | 8-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Union Berlin U19 | Erzgebirge Aue U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 68.5% | 31.5% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Union Berlin U19 and +2.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Union Berlin U19 = 5.70 (league 2.14), Erzgebirge Aue U19 = 1.04 (league 1.88)
| Erzgebirge Aue U19 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union Berlin U19 | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.2% · Draw 2.9% · Away win 1.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1