Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 09:00 • BZA Westender Straße
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 2.14) 1.59 (league 1.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.5% 25.0% 55.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.6%
0 - 2
11.7%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Mainz 05 U19
0 1 2 3 4 5
MSV Duisburg U19 0 9.2% 14.6% 11.7% 6.2% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.3% 11.6% 9.3% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
2 2.9% 4.6% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMSV Duisburg U19Mainz 05 U19
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack36%77%
Defense77%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.617 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MSV Duisburg U19 Mainz 05 U19
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%100%67%83%
Draws33%33%33%0%33%17%
Loses33%33%33%0%0%0%

Form: MSV Duisburg U19: LDWLDW • Mainz 05 U19: WWDWWW

League goals

Metric MSV Duisburg U19 Mainz 05 U19
HATHAT
GF total54910919
GF avg1.71.31.53.33.03.2
GA total347336
GA avg1.01.31.21.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMSV Duisburg U19Mainz 05 U19
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%100%100%67%
1.533%17%100%33%
2.517%0%50%0%
3.517%0%33%0%
4.50%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMSV Duisburg U19Mainz 05 U19
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricMSV Duisburg U19Mainz 05 U19
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMSV Duisburg U19Mainz 05 U19
Wins12
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-25-00-5
Biggest losses0-12-1
Goals For4255
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricMSV Duisburg U19Mainz 05 U19
Form38%62%
Att32%68%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total37.4%62.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mainz 05 U19

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MSV Duisburg U19 = 0.79 (league 2.14), Mainz 05 U19 = 1.59 (league 1.88)

Mainz 05 U19
0 1 2 3 4 5
MSV Duisburg U19 0 9.2% 14.6% 11.7% 6.2% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.3% 11.6% 9.3% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
2 2.9% 4.6% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.5% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 55.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1