Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 11:00 •
Rasenplatz Sport- und Freizeitzentrum Aue
Expected Goals
3.08 (league 2.14)
1.22 (league 1.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2% | 13.8% | 11.7% |
best score tips
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 1
7.9%
3 - 0
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| BAK 07 U19 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Erzgebirge Aue U19 | 0 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Erzgebirge Aue U19 | BAK 07 U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 82% | 36% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
83%
FT probability
3.5+
59%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Erzgebirge Aue U19 | BAK 07 U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 33% | 40% | 38% | 75% | 25% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 67% | 60% | 63% | 25% | 75% | 50% |
Form: Erzgebirge Aue U19: LLWLWWLL • BAK 07 U19: LWWWLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Erzgebirge Aue U19 | BAK 07 U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 7 | 15 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 18 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Erzgebirge Aue U19 | BAK 07 U19 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 63% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 75% | 50% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 25% | 13% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 25% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 13% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Erzgebirge Aue U19 | BAK 07 U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Erzgebirge Aue U19 | BAK 07 U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Erzgebirge Aue U19 | BAK 07 U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 8-0 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Erzgebirge Aue U19 | BAK 07 U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 59.5% | 40.5% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Erzgebirge Aue U19 and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Erzgebirge Aue U19 = 3.08 (league 2.14), BAK 07 U19 = 1.22 (league 1.88)
| BAK 07 U19 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Erzgebirge Aue U19 | 0 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.2% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 11.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1