Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 •
Shielfield Park
Expected Goals
3.35 (league 1.78)
2.17 (league 1.74)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.0% | 15.4% | 21.2% |
best score tips
3 - 2
5.9%
3 - 1
5.5%
2 - 2
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Gretna 2008 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Berwick Rangers | 0 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Berwick Rangers | Gretna 2008 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 59% | 47% |
| Defense | 12% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
63%
FT probability
BTTS
88%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Berwick Rangers | Gretna 2008 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 38% | 25% | 31% | 11% | 25% | 18% |
| Draws | 25% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Loses | 38% | 50% | 44% | 56% | 75% | 65% |
Form: Berwick Rangers: WDLDDLDWLWLWLWLL • Gretna 2008: WDLLLLLLLLLLDLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Berwick Rangers | Gretna 2008 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 15 | 29 | 11 | 17 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 14 | 24 | 38 | 22 | 26 | 48 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Berwick Rangers | Gretna 2008 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 81% | 76% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 63% | 59% | 82% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 56% | 24% | 47% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 25% | 6% | 35% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 12% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Berwick Rangers | Gretna 2008 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Berwick Rangers | Gretna 2008 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Berwick Rangers | Gretna 2008 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 10 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 5-0 | 0-6 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Berwick Rangers | Gretna 2008 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Berwick Rangers or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Berwick Rangers = 3.35 (league 1.78), Gretna 2008 = 2.17 (league 1.74)
| Gretna 2008 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Berwick Rangers | 0 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.0% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 21.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1