Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 •
Raydale Park
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.78)
3.80 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0% | 6.6% | 72.0% |
best score tips
0 - 3
10.4%
0 - 4
9.9%
0 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gretna 2008 | 0 | 1.1% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gretna 2008 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 100% |
| Attack | 47% | 74% |
| Defense | 26% | 84% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gretna 2008 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 8% | 25% | 17% | 69% | 73% | 71% |
| Draws | 33% | 8% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 13% |
| Loses | 58% | 67% | 63% | 15% | 18% | 17% |
Form: Gretna 2008: WDLLLLLLLLLLDLWDWLLDLLDW • Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic: LWLDWWWDLLDWWWWWWWWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Gretna 2008 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 22 | 40 | 31 | 26 | 57 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 33 | 36 | 69 | 13 | 9 | 22 |
| GA avg | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gretna 2008 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 100% | 96% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 79% | 63% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 38% | 21% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 17% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gretna 2008 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gretna 2008 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gretna 2008 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 2-3 | 5-1 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 5-0 | 3-4 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gretna 2008 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 39% | 61% |
| Def | 18% | 82% |
| Poisson Distribution | 14% | 86% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 28% | 72% |
| Total | 25.5% | 74.5% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gretna 2008 = 0.68 (league 1.78), Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic = 3.80 (league 1.77)
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gretna 2008 | 0 | 1.1% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.0% · Draw 6.6% · Away win 72.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1