Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 19:45 •
The Vanloq Community Stadium
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.78)
1.88 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.6% | 20.9% | 35.5% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.8%
1 - 1
7.7%
2 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Gretna 2008 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hearts U21 | 0 | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hearts U21 | Gretna 2008 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 22% | 39% |
| Defense | 56% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
78%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
86%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hearts U21 | Gretna 2008 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 21% | 21% | 21% | 21% | 25% | 23% |
| Draws | 21% | 29% | 25% | 29% | 8% | 19% |
| Loses | 57% | 50% | 54% | 50% | 67% | 58% |
Form: Hearts U21: LDWLLDDLDDWLLWLLDLDLLLWLWWLL • Gretna 2008: WDLLLLLLLLLLDLWDWLLDLLDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Hearts U21 | Gretna 2008 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 19 | 36 | 21 | 22 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 25 | 33 | 58 | 34 | 36 | 70 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 2.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hearts U21 | Gretna 2008 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 93% | 81% | 96% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 64% | 58% | 73% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 32% | 19% | 46% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 11% | 8% | 35% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 15% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hearts U21 | Gretna 2008 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hearts U21 | Gretna 2008 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hearts U21 | Gretna 2008 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 10 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-1 | 0-6 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hearts U21 | Gretna 2008 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 63% | 37% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Hearts U21 or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hearts U21 = 2.02 (league 1.78), Gretna 2008 = 1.88 (league 1.73)
| Gretna 2008 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hearts U21 | 0 | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.6% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 35.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1