Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Los Milagros
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.11) 0.86 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.3% 29.8% 26.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting San Miguelito
0 1 2 3 4 5
Herrera 0 12.8% 11.1% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.3% 13.2% 5.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.1% 7.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHerreraSporting San Miguelito
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack75%50%
Defense0%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Herrera Sporting San Miguelito
HATHAT
Played121426141327
Wins33%0%15%43%31%37%
Draws25%43%35%29%31%30%
Loses42%57%50%29%38%33%

Form: Herrera: LDWLLLDDLDLWDDLWLLDLDWLDLL • Sporting San Miguelito: WDLWWWDLLLDWWDWLLLLWDLDWDWD

League goals

Metric Herrera Sporting San Miguelito
HATHAT
GF total131124141024
GF avg1.10.80.91.00.80.9
GA total13243781523
GA avg1.11.71.40.61.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHerreraSporting San Miguelito
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%81%59%48%
1.527%46%26%26%
2.58%12%4%7%
3.50%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHerreraSporting San Miguelito
HATHAT
Clean sheets3258614
Failed to score65115611

Penalties

MetricHerreraSporting San Miguelito
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricHerreraSporting San Miguelito
Wins13
Draws21
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—2-01-2
Biggest losses0-24-11-24-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against2424

Model comparison

MetricHerreraSporting San Miguelito
Form31%69%
Att60%40%
Def11%89%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h15%85%
Goals14%86%
Total31.0%69.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sporting San Miguelito and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.27 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.51 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Herrera = 1.19 (league 1.11), Sporting San Miguelito = 0.86 (league 1.02)

Sporting San Miguelito
0 1 2 3 4 5
Herrera 0 12.8% 11.1% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.3% 13.2% 5.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.1% 7.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.3% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 26.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1