Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Javier Cruz
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.11) 1.41 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.9% 24.8% 35.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Tauro FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza FC 0 5.6% 7.8% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.3% 11.6% 8.1% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.0% 4.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianza FCTauro FC
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack50%36%
Defense71%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza FC Tauro FC
HATHAT
Played141327151530
Wins43%23%33%33%27%30%
Draws21%54%37%40%27%33%
Loses36%23%30%27%47%37%

Form: Alianza FC: DWDLLDDLLDWDLWLWLWDLWDWDDWW • Tauro FC: DLLWLDLDDWWLWLWDWLDWLLDDWWLDLD

League goals

Metric Alianza FC Tauro FC
HATHAT
GF total161935211940
GF avg1.11.51.31.41.31.3
GA total152136172239
GA avg1.11.61.31.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianza FCTauro FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%81%77%80%
1.544%44%33%40%
2.511%7%13%10%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianza FCTauro FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets415426
Failed to score437347

Penalties

MetricAlianza FCTauro FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAlianza FCTauro FC
Wins12
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-34-02-4
Biggest losses0-22-01-33-1
Goals For3344
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricAlianza FCTauro FC
Form69%31%
Att58%42%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Alianza FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ 10Bet
Draw3.05 @ Betano
Away2.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alianza FC = 1.48 (league 1.11), Tauro FC = 1.41 (league 1.02)

Tauro FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza FC 0 5.6% 7.8% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.3% 11.6% 8.1% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.0% 4.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.9% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 35.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1