Tue, Oct 14 2025 • 01:30 • Estadio Los Andes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.11) 0.62 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.8% 36.1% 24.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.1%
1 - 0
19.7%
0 - 1
13.7%
Sporting San Miguelito
0 1 2 3 4 5
UMECIT 0 22.1% 13.7% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 12.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.8% 5.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUMECITSporting San Miguelito
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack23%54%
Defense77%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UMECIT Sporting San Miguelito
HATHAT
Played131427141428
Wins46%21%33%43%36%39%
Draws31%36%33%29%29%29%
Loses23%43%33%29%36%32%

Form: UMECIT: LDWDWDWLDLDLLLWDWWLDLWDLWDW • Sporting San Miguelito: WDLWWWDLLLDWWDWLLLLWDLDWDWDW

League goals

Metric UMECIT Sporting San Miguelito
HATHAT
GF total121224141327
GF avg0.90.90.91.00.91.0
GA total9182781624
GA avg0.71.31.00.61.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUMECITSporting San Miguelito
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%59%61%50%
1.526%33%29%25%
2.50%4%7%7%
3.50%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUMECITSporting San Miguelito
HATHAT
Clean sheets65118614
Failed to score55105611

Penalties

MetricUMECITSporting San Miguelito
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricUMECITSporting San Miguelito
Wins23
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-01-3
Biggest losses0-24-21-24-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against2424

Model comparison

MetricUMECITSporting San Miguelito
Form42%58%
Att30%70%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : UMECIT or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.99 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.88 @ Bet365
Away2.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.80 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): UMECIT = 0.89 (league 1.11), Sporting San Miguelito = 0.62 (league 1.02)

Sporting San Miguelito
0 1 2 3 4 5
UMECIT 0 22.1% 13.7% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 12.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.8% 5.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.8% · Draw 36.1% · Away win 24.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1