Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Los Milagros
Halftime
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.11) 1.15 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.1% 26.8% 31.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
11.1%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Independiente de La Chorrera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Herrera 0 8.2% 9.4% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.1% 12.7% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.6% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHerreraIndependiente de La Chorrera
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack21%11%
Defense47%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Herrera Independiente de La Chorrera
HATHAT
Played141428151429
Wins29%0%14%40%14%28%
Draws21%43%32%40%29%34%
Loses50%57%54%20%57%38%

Form: Herrera: LDWLLLDDLDLWDDLWLLDLDWLDLLLL • Independiente de La Chorrera: WWLWDLDWDDWLLDWDLLWLLDDLDDLLW

League goals

Metric Herrera Independiente de La Chorrera
HATHAT
GF total141125231235
GF avg1.00.80.91.50.91.2
GA total182442142135
GA avg1.31.71.50.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHerreraIndependiente de La Chorrera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%82%66%66%
1.525%50%38%34%
2.57%14%14%21%
3.50%4%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHerreraIndependiente de La Chorrera
HATHAT
Clean sheets3257310
Failed to score75125510

Penalties

MetricHerreraIndependiente de La Chorrera
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricHerreraIndependiente de La Chorrera
Wins12
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—4-00-1
Biggest losses1-34-12-33-0
Goals For3242
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricHerreraIndependiente de La Chorrera
Form17%83%
Att67%33%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h20%80%
Goals35%65%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Independiente de La Chorrera

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Herrera = 1.35 (league 1.11), Independiente de La Chorrera = 1.15 (league 1.02)

Independiente de La Chorrera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Herrera 0 8.2% 9.4% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.1% 12.7% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.6% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.1% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 31.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1