Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 20:30 • Estadio Los Andes II
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.11) 0.88 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.7% 26.8% 23.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting San Miguelito 0 9.8% 8.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.1% 12.5% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.0% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.9% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting San MiguelitoAlianza FC
Played55
Form60%73%
Attack53%53%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting San Miguelito Alianza FC
HATHAT
Played141529151328
Wins43%33%38%47%23%36%
Draws29%33%31%20%54%36%
Loses29%33%31%33%23%29%

Form: Sporting San Miguelito: WDLWWWDLLLDWWDWLLLLWDLDWDWDWD • Alianza FC: DWDLLDDLLDWDLWLWLWDLWDWDDWWW

League goals

Metric Sporting San Miguelito Alianza FC
HATHAT
GF total141630181937
GF avg1.01.11.01.21.51.3
GA total81927162137
GA avg0.61.30.91.11.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting San MiguelitoAlianza FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%52%75%82%
1.531%28%46%43%
2.510%10%11%7%
3.50%3%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting San MiguelitoAlianza FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets8614415
Failed to score5611437

Penalties

MetricSporting San MiguelitoAlianza FC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricSporting San MiguelitoAlianza FC
Wins31
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-02-3
Biggest losses1-24-00-22-0
Goals For2333
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricSporting San MiguelitoAlianza FC
Form45%55%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Double chance : Sporting San Miguelito or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Betfair
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away2.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sporting San Miguelito = 1.44 (league 1.11), Alianza FC = 0.88 (league 1.02)

Alianza FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting San Miguelito 0 9.8% 8.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.1% 12.5% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.0% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.9% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.7% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 23.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1