Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 01:00 •
Estadio Umecit
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.14)
1.23 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.0% | 24.8% | 29.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Alianza FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UMECIT | 0 | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UMECIT | Alianza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 89% | 89% |
| Defense | 22% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UMECIT | Alianza FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 47% | 19% | 32% | 44% | 27% | 35% |
| Draws | 33% | 38% | 35% | 19% | 47% | 32% |
| Loses | 20% | 44% | 32% | 38% | 27% | 32% |
Form: UMECIT: LDWDWDWLDLDLLLWDWWLDLWDLWDWDDWL • Alianza FC: DWDLLDDLLDWDLWLWLWDLWDWDDWWWLWL
League goals
| Metric | UMECIT | Alianza FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 13 | 31 | 19 | 21 | 40 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 14 | 20 | 34 | 18 | 23 | 41 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UMECIT | Alianza FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 65% | 77% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 35% | 42% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 6% | 10% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UMECIT | Alianza FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | UMECIT | Alianza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | UMECIT | Alianza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UMECIT | Alianza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.2% |
Advice: Double chance : UMECIT or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UMECIT = 1.58 (league 1.14), Alianza FC = 1.23 (league 1.03)
| Alianza FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UMECIT | 0 | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 29.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1