Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 01:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.11)
3.07 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.7% | 15.8% | 55.6% |
best score tips
1 - 3
6.9%
1 - 2
6.7%
2 - 3
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Alianza FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SD Atletico Nacional | 0 | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Alianza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 45% | 55% |
| Defense | 0% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Alianza FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 20% | 0% | 10% | 43% | 17% | 31% |
| Draws | 20% | 60% | 40% | 21% | 58% | 38% |
| Loses | 60% | 40% | 50% | 36% | 25% | 31% |
Form: SD Atletico Nacional: LLDDDLLDLW • Alianza FC: DWDLLDDLLDWDLWLWLWDLWDWDDW
League goals
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Alianza FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 15 | 19 | 34 |
| GA avg | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SD Atletico Nacional | Alianza FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 100% | 73% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 70% | 42% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 30% | 8% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Alianza FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Alianza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Alianza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Alianza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 34.0% | 66.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Alianza FC
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): SD Atletico Nacional = 1.73 (league 1.11), Alianza FC = 3.07 (league 1.02)
| Alianza FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SD Atletico Nacional | 0 | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.7% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 55.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1