Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 01:30 • Estadio Aristócle Toco Castillo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.11) 1.53 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.4% 19.6% 24.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 1
7.5%
3 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
SD Atletico Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Veraguas 0 2.1% 3.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 4.9% 7.5% 5.7% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.7% 8.7% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.4% 6.8% 5.2% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.6% 4.0% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.2% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVeraguasSD Atletico Nacional
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack50%75%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Veraguas SD Atletico Nacional
HATHAT
Played1414286612
Wins43%29%36%17%0%8%
Draws21%29%25%17%67%42%
Loses36%43%39%67%33%50%

Form: Veraguas: WDLLDLDWLWLLWWDLWWDWLDLWLDLW • SD Atletico Nacional: LLDDDLLDLWLD

League goals

Metric Veraguas SD Atletico Nacional
HATHAT
GF total1815338816
GF avg1.31.11.21.31.31.3
GA total172340151227
GA avg1.21.61.42.52.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVeraguasSD Atletico Nacional
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%68%75%100%
1.543%39%50%75%
2.511%25%8%33%
3.54%11%0%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVeraguasSD Atletico Nacional
HATHAT
Clean sheets639000
Failed to score5611123

Penalties

MetricVeraguasSD Atletico Nacional
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricVeraguasSD Atletico Nacional
Wins21
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-32-1—
Biggest losses0-34-02-52-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against4453

Model comparison

MetricVeraguasSD Atletico Nacional
Form58%42%
Att40%60%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total55.8%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : Veraguas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Veraguas = 2.34 (league 1.11), SD Atletico Nacional = 1.53 (league 1.02)

SD Atletico Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Veraguas 0 2.1% 3.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 4.9% 7.5% 5.7% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.7% 8.7% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.4% 6.8% 5.2% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.6% 4.0% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.2% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.4% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 24.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1