Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 21:00 •
Estadio San Cristóbal
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.11)
2.21 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.8% | 19.5% | 61.1% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 2
9.4%
1 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportivo Universitario | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SD Atletico Nacional | 0 | 3.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Deportivo Universitario |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 9% |
| Defense | 0% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Deportivo Universitario | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 17% | 14% | 15% | 38% | 33% | 35% |
| Draws | 17% | 57% | 38% | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Loses | 67% | 29% | 46% | 13% | 27% | 19% |
Form: SD Atletico Nacional: LLDDDLLDLWLDW • Deportivo Universitario: DDWDDDWLWWWWWDDLDLWWDDDLLWDDWLD
League goals
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Deportivo Universitario | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 11 | 19 | 22 | 13 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 15 | 14 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SD Atletico Nacional | Deportivo Universitario | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 100% | 68% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 77% | 32% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 31% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Deportivo Universitario | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Deportivo Universitario |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Deportivo Universitario |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 2-3 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Deportivo Universitario |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 92% | 8% |
| Def | 13% | 87% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.7% | 51.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Deportivo Universitario
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): SD Atletico Nacional = 1.05 (league 1.11), Deportivo Universitario = 2.21 (league 1.02)
| Deportivo Universitario | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SD Atletico Nacional | 0 | 3.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.8% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 61.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1