Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 01:00 •
COS Sports Plaza
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.14)
1.84 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.7% | 22.0% | 40.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
8.3%
2 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Independiente de La Chorrera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SD Atletico Nacional | 0 | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Independiente de La Chorrera |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 78% |
| Defense | 22% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Independiente de La Chorrera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 32 |
| Wins | 29% | 25% | 27% | 41% | 20% | 31% |
| Draws | 14% | 50% | 33% | 41% | 27% | 34% |
| Loses | 57% | 25% | 40% | 18% | 53% | 34% |
Form: SD Atletico Nacional: LLDDDLLDLWLDWWW • Independiente de La Chorrera: WWLWDLDWDDWLLDWDLLWLLDDLDDLLWWWD
League goals
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Independiente de La Chorrera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 14 | 40 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 15 | 14 | 29 | 14 | 21 | 35 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SD Atletico Nacional | Independiente de La Chorrera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 87% | 66% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 67% | 41% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 27% | 16% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Independiente de La Chorrera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Independiente de La Chorrera |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Independiente de La Chorrera |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-3 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 2-0 | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SD Atletico Nacional | Independiente de La Chorrera |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 13% | 88% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 44.7% | 55.5% |
Advice: Double chance : SD Atletico Nacional or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): SD Atletico Nacional = 1.72 (league 1.14), Independiente de La Chorrera = 1.84 (league 1.03)
| Independiente de La Chorrera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SD Atletico Nacional | 0 | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.7% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 40.3%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1