Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Uhlenkrugstadion
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 2.02)
1.02 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.2% | 32.0% | 38.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.8%
0 - 0
15.5%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Homberg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SW Essen | 0 | 15.5% | 15.8% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SW Essen | Homberg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 69% | 77% |
| Defense | 15% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SW Essen | Homberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 43% | 75% | 33% | 57% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 43% | 25% | 67% | 43% |
Form: SW Essen: DLWWLWL • Homberg: WLWLLWW
League goals
| Metric | SW Essen | Homberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SW Essen | Homberg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 71% | 71% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 57% | 57% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 43% | 29% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SW Essen | Homberg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | SW Essen | Homberg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | SW Essen | Homberg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 2-3 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SW Essen | Homberg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 43.2% | 56.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Homberg
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): SW Essen = 0.84 (league 2.02), Homberg = 1.02 (league 1.67)
| Homberg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SW Essen | 0 | 15.5% | 15.8% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.2% · Draw 32.0% · Away win 38.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1