Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 18:00 •
Sportanlage Schetters Busch
Expected Goals
4.03 (league 1.81)
1.41 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% |
best score tips
4 - 1
6.7%
3 - 1
6.7%
5 - 1
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Biemenhorst | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Schonnebeck | 0 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Schonnebeck carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 200 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Schonnebeck +3.8, Biemenhorst +4.8.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Schonnebeck
vs
Biemenhorst
Elo gapSchonnebeck +200
Home / draw / away62% / 18% / 20%
Expected home share76%
Combined Elo2970.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2970.6
Elo home share
76%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Schonnebeck | Biemenhorst |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1567.9 | 1402.7 |
| Form Elo | 1576 | 1411.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1528.3 | 1470 |
| Attack Elo | 1746.2 | 1483.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1503.6 | 1159 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +3.8 | +4.8 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Schonnebeck last-5 Elo change: +3.8; Biemenhorst last-5 Elo change: +4.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Schonnebeck | Biemenhorst |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 76% | 35% |
| Defense | 65% | 24% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
82%
FT probability
3.5+
59%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Schonnebeck | Biemenhorst | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 50% | 36% | 43% | 21% | 29% | 25% |
| Draws | 29% | 36% | 32% | 7% | 14% | 11% |
| Loses | 21% | 29% | 25% | 71% | 57% | 64% |
SchonnebeckLWWWDLDDWWWWDLLWDDDLDWWLWLWD
BiemenhorstWWLLWLLLLLLLLDDWLLWLLWDLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Schonnebeck | Biemenhorst | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 37 | 21 | 58 | 24 | 20 | 44 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 23 | 17 | 40 | 42 | 39 | 81 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Schonnebeck | Biemenhorst | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 86% | 75% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 61% | 39% | 43% | 82% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 11% | 21% | 61% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 4% | 11% | 36% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 4% | 4% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Schonnebeck | Biemenhorst | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Schonnebeck | Biemenhorst |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Schonnebeck | Biemenhorst |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 8 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-2 | 1-4 | 6-2 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 3-5 | 3-1 | 1-6 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 8 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Schonnebeck | Biemenhorst |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 68% | 32% |
| Def | 68% | 32% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 85% | 15% |
| Total | 73.0% | 27.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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