Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Eroglu-Arena
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.81)
1.39 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.6% | 26.2% | 40.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Sonsbeck | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kleve | 0 | 7.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Sonsbeck carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 23 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kleve +6.5, Sonsbeck +11.9.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Kleve
vs
Sonsbeck
Elo gapSonsbeck +23
Home / draw / away34% / 27% / 39%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo2888.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2888.3
Elo home share
47%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Kleve | Sonsbeck |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1415 | 1473.3 |
| Form Elo | 1409 | 1485.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1484.6 | 1490.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1379.4 | 1445.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1406.7 | 1463.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +6.5 | +11.9 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Kleve last-5 Elo change: +6.5; Sonsbeck last-5 Elo change: +11.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kleve | Sonsbeck |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 35% | 24% |
| Defense | 59% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kleve | Sonsbeck | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 43% | 7% | 25% | 29% | 36% | 32% |
| Draws | 7% | 36% | 21% | 29% | 7% | 18% |
| Loses | 50% | 57% | 54% | 43% | 57% | 50% |
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SonsbeckWDLWDWWLLLLDLWLLWLLLWDWLLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Kleve | Sonsbeck | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 15 | 18 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 24 | 30 | 54 | 20 | 28 | 48 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kleve | Sonsbeck | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 75% | 71% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 50% | 39% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 39% | 7% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 21% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kleve | Sonsbeck | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kleve | Sonsbeck |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kleve | Sonsbeck |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-0 | 0-4 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kleve | Sonsbeck |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 44.7% | 55.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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