Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 12:00 •
Elco-Arena in den Etzwiesen
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.89)
2.29 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.0% | 19.9% | 50.6% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.6%
1 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Essingen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Backnang | 0 | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Backnang | Essingen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 52% | 29% |
| Defense | 62% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Backnang | Essingen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 20% | 33% | 60% | 50% | 56% |
| Draws | 0% | 60% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 22% |
| Loses | 50% | 20% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 22% |
Form: Backnang: DLWLLWDWD • Essingen: WWWWWDLDL
League goals
| Metric | Backnang | Essingen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Backnang | Essingen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 89% | 78% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 56% | 67% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 22% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Backnang | Essingen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Backnang | Essingen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Backnang | Essingen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-2 | 0-6 | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Backnang | Essingen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 50.4% | 49.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Backnang or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Backnang = 1.59 (league 1.89), Essingen = 2.29 (league 1.57)
| Essingen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Backnang | 0 | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.0% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 50.6%
Vtot 3 , Vtod1