Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 •
MS Technologie Arena
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.81)
1.42 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.1% | 22.4% | 28.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Göppinger SV | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC 08 Villingen | 0 | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
FC 08 Villingen carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 97 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: FC 08 Villingen +14.2, Göppinger SV -10.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
FC 08 Villingen
vs
Göppinger SV
Elo gapFC 08 Villingen +97
Home / draw / away52% / 19% / 29%
Expected home share64%
Combined Elo3017.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3017.8
Elo home share
64%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | FC 08 Villingen | Göppinger SV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1540 | 1477.8 |
| Form Elo | 1541.6 | 1469 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1501.6 | 1492.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1595.5 | 1583 |
| Defense Elo | 1426.7 | 1450.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +14.2 | -10.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. FC 08 Villingen last-5 Elo change: +14.2; Göppinger SV last-5 Elo change: -10.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC 08 Villingen | Göppinger SV |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 31% | 50% |
| Defense | 75% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC 08 Villingen | Göppinger SV | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 50% | 29% | 39% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Draws | 21% | 36% | 29% | 29% | 21% | 25% |
| Loses | 29% | 36% | 32% | 43% | 50% | 46% |
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Göppinger SVLDWWLDLLLLLLDWLWWWWDDLLLLDWD
League goals
| Metric | FC 08 Villingen | Göppinger SV | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 18 | 46 | 25 | 19 | 44 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 23 | 21 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC 08 Villingen | Göppinger SV | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 68% | 79% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 43% | 43% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 29% | 21% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 7% | 7% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 7% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC 08 Villingen | Göppinger SV | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC 08 Villingen | Göppinger SV |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC 08 Villingen | Göppinger SV |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-4 | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 3-5 | 6-1 | 2-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC 08 Villingen | Göppinger SV |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 56.7% | 43.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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