Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadion an der Kreuzeiche
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.81)
1.49 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.4% | 26.3% | 57.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.1%
0 - 2
13.4%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| VfR Aalen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Reutlingen | 0 | 12.2% | 18.1% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
VfR Aalen carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 157 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Reutlingen +3.8, VfR Aalen +33.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Reutlingen
vs
VfR Aalen
Elo gapVfR Aalen +157
Home / draw / away24% / 18% / 58%
Expected home share29%
Combined Elo3186.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3186.8
Elo home share
29%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Reutlingen | VfR Aalen |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1497.3 | 1689.5 |
| Form Elo | 1502.6 | 1708 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1514.9 | 1582.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1526.3 | 1757.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1503.5 | 1690.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +3.8 | +33.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Reutlingen last-5 Elo change: +3.8; VfR Aalen last-5 Elo change: +33.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Reutlingen | VfR Aalen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 100% |
| Attack | 50% | 93% |
| Defense | 64% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Reutlingen | VfR Aalen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 43% | 14% | 29% | 79% | 79% | 79% |
| Draws | 36% | 43% | 39% | 7% | 21% | 14% |
| Loses | 21% | 43% | 32% | 14% | 0% | 7% |
ReutlingenLDDDWWLLWLWLLLDLWDLWDWDDDWDD
VfR AalenWWWDWDWWWDWWWWWWWLWWWLDWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Reutlingen | VfR Aalen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 19 | 42 | 33 | 36 | 69 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 13 | 29 | 42 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Reutlingen | VfR Aalen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 68% | 89% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 39% | 75% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 29% | 50% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 21% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Reutlingen | VfR Aalen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Reutlingen | VfR Aalen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Reutlingen | VfR Aalen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 6-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-1 | 2-3 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Reutlingen | VfR Aalen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 17% | 83% |
| Total | 29.0% | 71.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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